Trading EUR/USD

[Traders-Live]

I recently asked you guys for feedback regarding the Options University stuff, and thank you to those who did reply. I am now looking for some feedback on Bill Poulos’s courses please.
If you have any experience with any of these two products please drop me a line.
I want to quickly share one particular story with you right now as it is a lesson I keep trying to get across…

“Hi Chris,
Thanks for this I found it really interesting as although I’m not going to take up your great offer it re enforced to me exactly how I trade FX 10- 20 pips targets per day 5 lots at a time I’m in most trades for no more than 20 minutes, which has and is producing really well for me and I average around 400 pips a month total working for a couple of hours a day, this concept is exactly how I view the markets, get in get out enjoy your life.
So if it isn’t broke don’t fix it.
I spent a good couple of years trying to be in everything checking the markets all the time feeling like I missed out etc. now it’s great I’m in and out banked and done......

To read the complete message and see an interesting video on when to stop trading see my Blog on my site.

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2480
Key G7 support levels: 1.2570, 1.2520, 1.2480/2500
Counter-trend and scalping opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.

Today's trade suggestion:
Beaten down from the weekly trend-line as expected, but not “out” Allow for a bit more work under the trendline, and perhaps even a pull-back to 1.2300-1.2400. That having been said, we need to stay above the weekly reversal level at 1.2480 this week for the strong bullish momentum to continue, and we’ll look to buy into dips
whilst that is the case. Good support levels lie at 1.2570, 1.2520 and 1.2480/2500. Watch and wait for a clear G7 entry signal before buying the euro for a rally back to 1.2700. I suspect that the euro won’t be in a rush this week, so be patient – there will be plenty of time to pick your moment!

Summary: Patiently wait for dips down to support levels before buying the euro after a clear G7 entry signal.
Target 1.2600.

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2480
Key G7 support levels: 1.2570, 1.2520, 1.2480/2500
Counter-trend and scalping opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.

Today's trade suggestion:
Beaten down from the weekly trend-line as expected, but not “out” Allow for a bit more work under the trendline, and perhaps even a pull-back to 1.2300-1.2400. That having been said, we need to stay above the weekly reversal level at 1.2480 this week for the strong bullish momentum to continue, and we’ll look to buy into dips
whilst that is the case. Good support levels lie at 1.2570, 1.2520 and 1.2480/2500. Watch and wait for a clear G7 entry signal before buying the euro for a rally back to 1.2700. I suspect that the euro won’t be in a rush this week, so be patient – there will be plenty of time to pick your moment!

Summary: Patiently wait for dips down to support levels before buying the euro after a clear G7 entry signal.
Target 1.2600.

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2520
Key G7 support levels: 1.2820, 1.2760, 1.2700/20
Counter-trend and scalping opportunities:
Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.

Today's trade suggestion:
Capped at 1.3000, the euro is pausing a little before the next move higher to 1.3120. Weekly momentum remains bullish and we’ll continue to look to buy dips this week, whilst above the weekly reversal level at 1.2520. Notice that the weekly downward trend line has been conclusively broken, and this should also add fuel to a further move higher. Supports lie at 1.2820, 1.2760 and then around the 1.2700 mark. We must allow for a retest of the weekly trend-line from the top side – now acting as support, and this means we may experience a dip as low as 1.2700-1.2660. Targets for long trades are the big psychological barrier at 1.3000 and then onwards and upwards to 1.3120.

Summary: Buy dips to support levels listed above after a clear G7 entry signal, allowing for a retracement as far as 1.2660-1.2700. First target 1.3000 and then 1.3120.

[Traders-Live]

I managed to get this article from Brian at Inside Out Trading and I think they make a lot of sense...

Brian here with 2 extremely critical “Best Practices” for traders that you really must not neglect, or your trading will suffer.

In my Quality Engineering days, we always sought to establish Best Practices wherever possible because it had a measurable effect on the bottom line, plus numerous other aspects of the business.

Now in trading there are Best Practices which will definitely benefit you and if you neglect them, your performance and your results are almost certain to suffer.

The First Best Practice

Highly successful businesses don’t just ‘happen’ by accident or by themselves.

…and you do want a highly successful trading business, right?

I mean you’re not in this for mediocrity or just something to do, are you?

No, you want a trading business that is consistent and most of all RELIABLE.

You want the security of knowing that your trading business can be counted on to provide both right now and for the future.

Again, reliable businesses don’t just happen, but the reason the so many traders never get anywhere, let alone taking it to that level where it IS reliable is this:

- they make the mistake of thinking that if they can just get making some money, then somehow everything will fall into place.

Where things go wrong

So many traders wind up too busy doing the thing of the business to ever take it to that next level, and just stay in kind of that ’scrambling to make money this month’ mode.

This is how businesses that ‘just survive’ get built and the owners usually do NOT enjoy the lifestyle that they want.

They find that they are working more hours than they’d like, and

They are not making nearly as much money as they’d like, and

They do NOT have the security in their business that they want.

The other (and more common) result is that the business struggles and dies, usually in a matter of months, simply because of the resources that get wasted instead of contributing to the bottom line.

So the solution is to implement the first Best Practice: taking time to work “on the business”, not just “in it”.

This is most crucial AT THE VERY BEGINNING of the venture with the most important business asset - your Business Plan.

Once that is in place, then taking time periodically to again work “on the business” and not just in it, is so vital to making it what you really want.

The Second Best Practice

Because you are the decision-maker and center of your trading business, how well you perform has a direct impact on how good your results are, so…

You need to live by the second Best Practice: making the time to take care of yourself - this means several things.

1. Take the time to exercise. Taking a walk or jogging or anything that gets you away from ‘work’ and does your body good will also benefit you in your trading.

2. Take time to detach and get some R & R. It is vital to efficient and effective trading for you to take time completely away from trading. A full 24-hour break, meaning completely stepping away from it, will do you worlds of good.

3. Get enough sleep - how can you expect to trade at your best if you are shorting yourself necessary sleep? You can’t, so make sure you get enough to feel rested.

4. Mind what you eat. Certain foods will agree with you and others might taste good, but don’t serve you well. On trading days, eat what helps you feel good and sharp.

Summing it up - and more…

Your trading is your business and it directly depends on you the trader.

Put these Best Practices into place and make them practices.

Remember to work “on your business”, take care of yourself, and make sure that you have a Business Plan.

For more on Treating Your Trading As a Business,

Enjoy!
Cheers

Brian

“The Trading Turnaround Coach”
P.S. Neglecting these Best Practices causes many traders to suffer un-necessarily.
Don’t let it happen to you! Watch the video and / or take the quiz and make your trading business the RELIABLE one you want it to be!

This article and two free accompanying video’s are available on my blog page on my site.

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD
Weekly Trend direction: Bullish
Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2520
Key G7 support levels: 1.2820, 1.2760, 1.2700/20
Counter-trend and scalping opportunities:

Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.

Today's trade suggestion:
Capped at 1.3000, the euro is pausing a little before the next move higher to 1.3120. Weekly momentum remains bullish and we’ll continue to look to buy dips this week, whilst above the weekly reversal level at 1.2520. Notice that the weekly downward trend line has been conclusively broken, and this should also add fuel to a further move higher. Supports lie at 1.2820, 1.2760 and then around the 1.2700 mark. We must allow for a retest of the weekly trend-line from the top side – now acting as support, and this means we may experience a dip as low as 1.2700-1.2660. Targets for long trades are the big psychological barrier at 1.3000 and then onwards and upwards to 1.3120.

Update: Moving down close to 1.2840 – the 38% retracement level – but no real signs of reversal just yet. We’ll allow for a further dip to the support levels listed above, which will take us down to the raft of technical supports below us. Be patient!

Summary: Buy dips to support levels listed above after a clear G7 entry signal, allowing for a retracement as far
as 1.2660-1.2700. First target 1.3000 and then 1.3120.

[Traders-Live]

The sad fact is that most traders fail to make money, or even survive the first few months of trading due to two factors:

1. A poor trading system.
2. Poor money management

We can provide the first one for you – that’s the easy part! However, the second part is even more important and I want to show you what you can achieve if you do things the right way and if you follow a systematic money management approach.

I have prepared some Excel spreadsheets to show you how you can convert your small trading account into a substantial sum of money if you have a profitable trading system or profitable signals and if you know the three Keys to making money in Forex trading. But before we go through the spreadsheets, let’s briefly cover the three Keys to making money in trading Forex.


Key number 1: Managing risk per trade

Key number 2: Managing risk per account

Key number 3: Compounding profits

Ok, so let’s go through these keys one at a time. Let’s say you were able to get your hands on a profitable trading system or someone was willing to send you profitable trade alerts.

Would this mean that you would automatically make money trading your account?

No way!

The problem is that, as hard as it is to learn how to trade the market, it is even harder for most people to manage their account. This is mainly due to inexperience and wrong, emotional decisions. I can’t help with the emotional side (although there are some excellent books on the psychology of trading at available, but what I can help you with is gaining experience in converting a winning trade system or signals into money in the bank.

It’s all about money management.


Key number 1: Managing risk per trade

Trading involves risk. Every trade we take has a chance of being a winner and a chance of being a loser. There is simply nothing that will ever change that…

No-one knows where the market will go next with certainty.

What we can do is to develop systems which give us an edge of better than 50:50, and the systems we use win about 65-70% of the time. The other 30-35% of the time the trades are losers. This does not make the losing trades bad trades, but it simply means that the trades fell into the “good, but losing” group.

When a trade goes against us, the best thing to do is to close the trade for a relatively small loss and to wait for the next opportunity.

Many novice traders tend to hold onto losing trades, or even add to losing positions. This has a terrible effect on your account equity, risk of losing more and your emotional well being. Anyway, I don’t want to dwell on this subject, but I must stress that if you follow a trading system or signal, follow it precisely. Do not risk more than the 30-50 pip stop loss employed and do not add to losing trades.

More about that later…

Part Two will be posted here on Tuesday next week...

This is part 1 of a 3 part series. If you would like this e-book sent to you directly, simply opt in on the traders-live site and you will receive this, along with another report or two and a complete video series.

Cheers for now,
Chris.

[Traders-Live]

After a great trading week, I'm going to take the
day off and focus on setting up the desk-top alerts
properly.

There will be no report today, and I'll resume on
Monday for the new week ahead.

It's often good to take Friday off when trading
currencies - Friday's are much like the last 5
minutes of the hour which can have big swings
and set the direction for the next hour.

See you next week and have a safe weekend!

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD

Weekly Trend direction: Bullish

Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2732

Key G7 support levels: 1.2780/2800, 1.2720, 1.2630

Counter-trend and scalping opportunities: 1.2980 – 1.3050

Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.
Today's trade suggestion:

Little has changed since last week, as the Euro has been in a broad sideways range for much of the last week. Support levels are listed above and we’ll continue to look to buy the Euro into dips, with an unchanged strategy. There is a word of caution: It is very possible that we’ll retrace and correct back to the weekly downward trend line, which now acts as a support. Today, this lies at roughly 1.2520, which is below the weekly reversal level. As bullish momentum has slowed somewhat and the danger of a consolidation/correction is increasing, we’ll allow for some careful trend and counter-trend trading if the opportunity arises. Watch for potential topping at 1.2980/1.3000

Summary: Buy dips to support levels listed above after a clear G7 entry signal, allowing for a retracement as far as 1.2530. First target 1.3000 and then 1.3120. Perhaps try small counter-trend short trades between 1.2980 and 1.3050 if there is a clear G7 entry signal.

[Traders-Live]

EUR/USD

Weekly Trend direction: Bullish

Weekly trend reversal level: 1.2732

Key G7 support levels: 1.2780/2800, 1.2720, 1.2630

Counter-trend and scalping opportunities: 1.2980 – 1.3050

Strategy: Whilst above the weekly trend reversal level buy dips to support levels after an entry signal.
Today's trade suggestion:

Little has changed since last week, as the Euro has been in a broad sideways range for much of the last week. Support levels are listed above and we’ll continue to look to buy the Euro into dips, with an unchanged strategy. There is a word of caution: It is very possible that we’ll retrace and correct back to the weekly downward trend line, which now acts as a support. Today, this lies at roughly 1.2520, which is below the weekly reversal level. As bullish momentum has slowed somewhat and the danger of a consolidation/correction is increasing, we’ll allow for some careful trend and counter-trend trading if the opportunity arises. Watch for potential topping at 1.2980/1.3000

Summary: Buy dips to support levels listed above after a clear G7 entry signal, allowing for a retracement as far as 1.2530. First target 1.3000 and then 1.3120. Perhaps try small counter-trend short trades between 1.2980 and 1.3050 if there is a clear G7 entry signal.